Publications

As long as the Kremlin believes that the summary costs of deploying weapons of mass destruction will exceed any possible gains from such an adventure, Moscow will not dare to break the post-World War II taboo on the use of atomic arms.

Four scenarios for Ukraine’s future after 2027: from continued war to a lasting peace deal, and what role the EU must play in each

Once strategically indifferent to each other, Yerevan and Kyiv are now converging around shared goals: reducing dependence on Russia, deepening EU integration, and building resilience.

What Europe needs to know about the war’s next phase

Ukraine has systematically removed humans from roles that don’t require human judgment, letting machines absorb the danger soldiers would otherwise face. What UGVs can and can’t do, and what lessons European institutions can draw from Ukraine’s experience.

The EU has opened serious membership talks with Ukraine. The burden of proof now shifts to Kyiv, but Brussels cannot sit back.

Reforming Ukraine’s defence sector is as much a governance challenge as a military one. How could the EU step up alongside NATO, embedding defence within the EU’s institutional frameworks?

The Kremlin regards democracies as a direct threat to its survival. Its goal is not just to seize territory, but to conquer minds and undermine the foundations of Europe’s collective identity. How can Europe respond?

Russia’s aggression against Ukraine might end with a Russian victory or a Ukrainian victory, but the war ending with a negotiated ceasefire appears a remote possibility.

Why Zelenskyy rejects proposals on associate membership status for Ukraine