Russia’s battlefield strategy in Ukraine has plateaued and, if nothing radically changes, Russia cannot expect any significant progress on the battlefield in 2026.
Ukraine has systematically removed humans from roles that don’t require human judgment, letting machines absorb the danger soldiers would otherwise face. What UGVs can and can’t do, and what lessons European institutions can draw from Ukraine’s experience.
A ceasefire is nowhere in sight. Putin sees no interest in ending his war. Even so, the EU should start preparing for the many post-war challenges Ukraine will face.
James Nixey is acting non-resident head of research and analysis at EPIK. He holds the same position at the Stokholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS).
Between 2012 and 2025 James was director of the Chatham House Russia and Eurasia Programme, spending 25 years at the institute in total. During this time, James co-founded the institute’s Ukraine Forum – at its start, the only dedicated centre on Ukraine in Europe. His work at Chatham House cemented a robust position toward Russia which was only later followed by other institutes.
Between these two positions he has been writing papers for the UK Ministry of Defence.
James looks at Russia’s relations with western and non-western countries alike, and the sources of tension inside Russia itself.
He has been a regular visitor to Ukraine before and since the war and followed its domestic and external dynamics closely. His work has focussed on the parallel struggles that Ukraine has faced over the past two decades – with itself and with its largest neighbour.
James has degrees in international relations and in Russian from the Universities of Bristol and Exeter respectively. He is an honorary research fellow in the latter. Based outside of London, near Oxford, he is also a non-resident fellow with the Geneva Centre for Security Studies, the Brussels-based European Policy Centre, and the UK-based Conflict Studies Research Centre.
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