Russia’s battlefield strategy in Ukraine has plateaued and, if nothing radically changes, Russia cannot expect any significant progress on the battlefield in 2026.
Ukraine has systematically removed humans from roles that don’t require human judgment, letting machines absorb the danger soldiers would otherwise face. What UGVs can and can’t do, and what lessons European institutions can draw from Ukraine’s experience.
A ceasefire is nowhere in sight. Putin sees no interest in ending his war. Even so, the EU should start preparing for the many post-war challenges Ukraine will face.
Andrew Wilson was EPIK’s first Visiting Fellow in February 2026. He is one of the leading experts on Ukraine having worked on the region since the early 1990s. Wilson is Professor of Ukrainian Studies at University College London, and a Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR).
His most recent books are The Ukrainians (Yale UP, 2022), and Political Technology: The Globalisation of Political Manipulation (Cambridge UP, 2023). See also the additional materials at politicaltechnology.blog. He is currently finishing two books: How Russia Created the Propaganda that Helped Create the War Against Ukraine and Kyiv: City of Resilience.
Areas of expertise: Ukraine; comparative politics of democratisation in the post-Soviet states; political technology
Languages: English, Russian, Ukrainian, some Belarusian, conversational French
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