Publications

Ukraine has systematically removed humans from roles that don’t require human judgment, letting machines absorb the danger soldiers would otherwise face. What UGVs can and can’t do, and what lessons European institutions can draw from Ukraine’s experience.

Russia’s battlefield strategy in Ukraine has plateaued and, if nothing radically changes, Russia cannot expect any significant progress on the battlefield in 2026.

A ceasefire is nowhere in sight. Putin sees no interest in ending his war. Even so, the EU should start preparing for the many post-war challenges Ukraine will face.

Four scenarios for Ukraine’s future after 2027: from continued war to a lasting peace deal, and what role the EU must play in each

The European Union’s accession promise loses credibility if it continues to keep the most significant benefits of accession until the end of the process. Its two political options for bringing membership forward – Membership First and Accession Treaty First – must both pass the same four tests.

The Kremlin regards democracies as a direct threat to its survival. Its goal is not just to seize territory, but to conquer minds and undermine the foundations of Europe’s collective identity. How can Europe respond?

As Ukraine’s deep strikes hit Russia’s economy and military rear, how will Moscow retaliate?

In June 2022 the EU acknowledged that enlargement would require preparation on its own side. The Commission’s first systemic answer is solid, but still unfinished in places. One issue in particular is conspicuous by its absence: reconstruction.

What Europe needs to know about the war’s next phase

Reforming Ukraine’s defence sector is as much a governance challenge as a military one. How could the EU step up alongside NATO, embedding defence within the EU’s institutional frameworks?

Why Zelenskyy rejects proposals on associate membership status for Ukraine

Russia’s aggression against Ukraine might end with a Russian victory or a Ukrainian victory, but the war ending with a negotiated ceasefire appears a remote possibility.

The EU has opened serious membership talks with Ukraine. The burden of proof now shifts to Kyiv, but Brussels cannot sit back.